Essential Operational Toolkit
Success in the Betfair ecosystem is predicated on precision data analysis. The **BFG Toolkit** is an all-in-one terminal providing the mathematical frameworks required to identify and exploit market inefficiencies. From variance estimation to complex arbitrage, these are the tools of the professional trader.
Execution Calculators
Odds Conversion
Bi-directional conversion between Decimal, Fractional, and American formats.
Dutching Engine
Stake distribution across multiple outcomes to equalize profit potential.
Arbitrage Matrix
Hedged stake calculation across multiple bookmakers for guaranteed yield.
Matched Betting
Advanced Back/Lay calculator with commission and free-bet token logic.
Hedging Logic
Calculation of required exit stakes to lock in green-screen profit.
Bankroll & Variance
Kelly Criterion
Optimal stake sizing designed to maximize logarithmic bankroll growth.
Staking Simulator
Monte Carlo simulation of various staking plans to test long-term viability.
Variance Estimator
Statistical range analysis of potential profit/loss over a defined series.
Probability Engine
Market result simulation based on historical win rates and price points.
Value & Alpha
Expected Value
Calculation of mathematical edge (EV) per individual wager.
True Odds
Margin removal algorithms to identify fair market value.
Overround Calc
Detection of bookmaker vigorish across any given market.
Each-Way Value
Deep-dive evaluation of EW terms versus win/place probability.
Tick Value
Conversion of exchange tick movement into percentage/cash delta.
Results Analyser
Post-session data analysis to identify leaks in execution.
The BFG Toolkit provides mathematical estimations. While these frameworks are essential for professional trading, they do not guarantee profit. Users must maintain strict bankroll management and operational discipline at all times. System sync: .